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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2712-7672</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2713-2919</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">Eco-Vector</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">15558</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17816/CP15558</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">The neurophysiological features of anticipation in schizophrenia: a cross-sectional study of event-related potentials</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Нейрофизиологические особенности антиципации при шизофрении: исследование потенциалов мозга, связанных с событиями</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0001-8300-4095</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Rabinovich</surname><given-names>Ernest I.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Рабинович</surname><given-names>Эрнест Ильич</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Junior Researcher, Laboratory of Clinical Neurophysiology, V. Serbsky National Medical Research Centre of Psychiatry and Narcology of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; postgraduate student, Lomonosov Moscow State University</p></bio><email>rabinovichernest@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5534-9320</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57160360300</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="researcherid">Y-7108-2019</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="spin">1051-8375</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Telesheva</surname><given-names>Klavdiya Y.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Телешева</surname><given-names>Клавдия Юрьевна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD, Cand. Sci (Psychology), Senior Researcher, Laboratory of Clinical Neurophysiology</p></bio><email>telesheva.k@serbsky.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">V. Serbsky National Medical Research Centre of Psychiatry and Narcology of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГБУ «Национальный медицинский исследовательский центр психиатрии и наркологии имени В.П. Сербского» Минздрава России</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Lomonosov Moscow State University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГБОУ ВО «Московский государственный университет имени М.В. Ломоносова»</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="preprint" iso-8601-date="2025-06-25" publication-format="electronic"><day>25</day><month>06</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-07-06" publication-format="electronic"><day>06</day><month>07</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>6</volume><issue>2</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en"/><issue-title xml:lang="ru"/><fpage>21</fpage><lpage>34</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2024-07-22"><day>22</day><month>07</month><year>2024</year></date><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2025-04-28"><day>28</day><month>04</month><year>2025</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2025, Rabinovich E.I., Telesheva K.Y.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2025, Рабинович Э.И., Телешева К.Ю.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Rabinovich E.I., Telesheva K.Y.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Рабинович Э.И., Телешева К.Ю.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://consortium-psy.com/jour/article/view/15558">https://consortium-psy.com/jour/article/view/15558</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p><bold>BACKGROUND:</bold> It is known that disorders of mental activity in schizophrenia patients may be caused by an impairment in the actualization of past experience during anticipation (prediction), which leads to impairment in constructing predictions, comparing incoming sensory information with the predictions, and updating the predictions. Previous studies have shown that the probability of an expected event affects the components of event-related potentials in mentally healthy individuals. However, it has not yet been studied how changes in the probability of an expected stimulus influence the behavior of individuals with schizophrenia and their event-related potential measures.</p> <p><bold>AIM:</bold> To compare the influence of event probability on the characteristics of brain potentials in patients with schizophrenia and healthy individuals.</p> <p><bold>METHODS:</bold> The study included mentally healthy individuals and male schizophrenia patients. Electroencephalograms were recorded while participants performed a saccadic task within the Central Cue Posner’s Paradigm under conditions of varying probability (50% and 80%) of target stimulus presentation. Pre-stimulus (Contingent Negative Variation) and post-stimulus (Mismatch Negativity and P3) components of event-related potentials were analyzed upon the presentation of two types of target stimuli: standard (presented on the same side as the cue stimulus) and deviant (presented on the opposite side), under conditions of 50% and 80% stimulus congruence probability.</p> <p><bold>RESULTS: </bold>The study involved 20 mentally healthy individuals and 18 schizophrenia patients. In healthy subjects, the amplitude of the contingent negative variation increased with high stimulus congruence probability, while the amplitude of the Mismatch Negativity (MMN) and P3 component was higher for deviant stimuli under conditions of high (80%) probability. In schizophrenia patients, changes in probability demonstrated no impact on the amplitude of the contingent negative wave, MMN, or P3.</p> <p><bold>CONCLUSION: </bold>The characteristics of event-related potentials in patients with schizophrenia indicate impaired anticipation processes.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p><bold>ВВЕДЕНИЕ: </bold>Известно, что расстройства психической деятельности у больных шизофренией могут быть обусловлены нарушениями актуализации прошлого опыта в процессе антиципации (прогнозирования), которые приводят к нарушениям построения прогноза, сопоставления поступающей сенсорной информации с прогнозом и коррекции прогноза. Ранее было показано, что у здоровых людей вероятность ожидаемого события влияет на компоненты вызванных потенциалов головного мозга. Однако до сих пор не изучено, как изменение вероятности ожидаемого стимула влияет на поведение и мозговые ответы у лиц с шизофренией.</p> <p><bold>ЦЕЛЬ: </bold>Сравнить влияние вероятности событий на характеристики мозговых потенциалов у пациентов с шизофренией и здоровых людей.</p> <p><bold>МЕТОДЫ:</bold> В исследование были включены психически здоровые лица и больные шизофренией мужского пола. При выполнении участниками саккадической задачи в парадигме пространственной сигнализации в условиях разновероятностного (50 и 80%) предъявления целевого стимула регистрировались электроэнцефалограммы. Проанализированы достимульные (условная негативная волна) и постстимульные (негативность рассогласования и Р3) компоненты связанных с событиями потенциалов мозга при предъявлении двух типов целевых стимулов: стандартные (предъявляемые с той же стороны, что и сигнальный стимул) и девиантные (предъявляемые с противоположной стороны) в условиях 50 и 80% вероятности совпадения стимулов.</p> <p><bold>РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ:</bold> В исследовании приняли участие 20 психически здоровых лиц и 18 больных шизофренией. У психически здоровых лиц амплитуда условной негативной волны увеличивалась при высокой вероятности совпадения стимулов, амплитуда негативности рассогласования и компонента P3 была выше при девиантных стимулах в условиях высокой (80%) вероятности. У пациентов с шизофренией изменение вероятности не оказывало влияния на амплитуду условной негативной волны, негативности рассогласования и P3.</p> <p><bold>ЗАКЛЮЧЕНИЕ: </bold>Характеристики связанных с событиями потенциалов мозга у больных шизофренией указывают на наличие у них нарушений процессов антиципации.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>schizophrenia</kwd><kwd>anticipation</kwd><kwd>predictive coding</kwd><kwd>event-related potentials</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>шизофрения</kwd><kwd>антиципация</kwd><kwd>прогностическое кодирование</kwd><kwd>связанные с событиями потенциалы мозга</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><award-group><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution xml:lang="en">Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation</institution></institution-wrap><institution-wrap><institution xml:lang="ru">Министерство здравоохранения Российской Федерации</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>056-00015-24-00</award-id></award-group></funding-group></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>Kritskaya VP, Meleshko TK. 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