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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Consortium PSYCHIATRICUM</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2712-7672</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2713-2919</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">Eco-Vector</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">167</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17816/CP167</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Modeling Suicidality Risks and Understanding the Phenomenon of Suicidality Under the Loupe of Pandemic Context: National Findings of the COMET-G Study in the Russian Population</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Моделирование суицидального риска и понимание феномена суицидальности через призму пандемии COVID-19: национальные результаты международного исследования COMET-G в российской популяции</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4334-1601</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57200207189</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Syunyakov</surname><given-names>Timur S.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сюняков</surname><given-names>Тимур Сергеевич</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Senior researcher, Education Center, Senior researcher, Clinical psychopharmacology Group in the Laboratory of Pharmacological Genetics, Leading expert</p></bio><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к.м.н., старший научный сотрудник</p></bio><email>sjunja@bk.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2742-552X</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">55350951600</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Pavlichenko</surname><given-names>Alexey V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Павличенко</surname><given-names>Алексей Викторович</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Senior lecturer, Education Center</p></bio><email>apavlichenko76@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8537-2457</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">56654943200</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Morozov</surname><given-names>Petr V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Морозов</surname><given-names>Пётр  Викторович</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Professor, Vice-President, Russian Society of Psychiatrists; General secretary, World Psychiatric Association</p></bio><email>prof.morozov@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2791-7180</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="researcherid">N-9456-2016</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Fedotov</surname><given-names>Ilya A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Федотов</surname><given-names>Илья Андреевич</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Candidate of Medical Sciences, associate professor, Psychiatry Department</p></bio><email>ilyafdtv@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57295212900</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Filatova</surname><given-names>Viktoriia E.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Филатова</surname><given-names>Виктория Евгеньевна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD</p></bio><email>filatovaviktoria@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4015-3162</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57214356922</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Gayduk</surname><given-names>Arseny J.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гайдук</surname><given-names>Арсений Янович</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD, Expert of the International Centre for Education and Research in Neuropsychiatry</p></bio><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Международный научно-образовательный центр нейропсихиатрии</p></bio><email>a.j.gayduk@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57295645400</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Ignatenko</surname><given-names>Yulia  S.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Игнатенко</surname><given-names>Юлия  Сергеевна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD, Psychoneurological Dispensar No.1</p></bio><email>hvala_korolevna@rambler.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7299-7909</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57120067400</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Spikina</surname><given-names>Anna  A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Спикина</surname><given-names>Анна  Александровна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD, PhD</p></bio><email>a-spikina@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4858-1882</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57200702945</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Yashikhina</surname><given-names>Anna  A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Яшихина</surname><given-names>Анна  Александровна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Leading expert</p></bio><email>akvaraul@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6773-439X</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">57216865663</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Patsali</surname><given-names>Mikaella  E.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Патсали</surname><given-names>Микаэлла Э.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD</p></bio><email>mikaellapatsali@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5503-0811</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">7005197466</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Fountoulakis</surname><given-names>Konstantinos  N.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Фунтулакис</surname><given-names>Константинос Н.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="GR">Greece</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Professor, ISNP (President), Head of Cochrane Greece, World Health Organization (Representative of Greece), 3<sup>rd</sup> Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences</p></bio><email>kostasfountoulakis@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9591-4918</contrib-id><contrib-id contrib-id-type="scopus">55086067800</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Smirnova</surname><given-names>Daria  A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Смирнова</surname><given-names>Дарья Александровна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, associate professor of the Department of psychiatry, narcology, psychotherapy and clinical psychology, Director</p></bio><email>daria.smirnova.md.phd@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">International Centre for Education and Research in Neuropsychiatry, Samara State Medical University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Международный научно-образовательный центр нейропсихиатрии, Самарский государственный медицинский университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Mental Health Clinic № 1 n.a. N.A. Alexeev of Moscow Healthcare Department</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ГБУЗ «Психиатрическая клиническая больница № 1 им. Н.А. Алексеева Департамента здравоохранения города Москвы»</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff3"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Zakusov Institute of Pharmacology</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГБНУ «НИИ Фармакологии имени В.В. Закусова»</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff4"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Russian National Research Medical University n.a. N.I. Pirogov</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО Российский национальный исследовательский медицинский университет имени Н.И. Пирогова</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff5"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Ryazan State Medical University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Рязанский государственный медицинский университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff6"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Saint Petersburg Psychoneurological Dispensary № 2</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Санкт-Петербургское ГБУЗ Психоневрологический диспансер № 2</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff7"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Samara State Medical University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Самарский государственный медицинский университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff8"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Hellenic Open University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Греческий открытый университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff9"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Aristotle University of Thessaloniki</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Университет Аристотеля в Салониках</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff10"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">V.M. Bekhterev National Medical Research Center for Psychiatry and Neurology</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">НМИЦ ПН им. В.М. Бехтерева</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="preprint" iso-8601-date="2022-06-22" publication-format="electronic"><day>22</day><month>06</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2022-07-05" publication-format="electronic"><day>05</day><month>07</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>3</volume><issue>2</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en"/><issue-title xml:lang="ru"/><fpage>15</fpage><lpage>36</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2022-03-21"><day>21</day><month>03</month><year>2022</year></date><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2022-05-23"><day>23</day><month>05</month><year>2022</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2022, Syunyakov T.S., Pavlichenko A.V., Morozov P.V., Fedotov I.A., Filatova V.E., Gayduk A.J., Ignatenko Y.S., Spikina A.A., Yashikhina A.A., Patsali M.E., Fountoulakis K.N., Smirnova D.A.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2022, Сюняков Т.С., Павличенко А.В., Морозов П.В., Федотов И.А., Филатова В.Е., Гайдук А.Я., Игнатенко Ю.С., Спикина А.А., Яшихина А.А., Патсали М.Э., Фунтулакис К.Н., Смирнова Д.А.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Syunyakov T.S., Pavlichenko A.V., Morozov P.V., Fedotov I.A., Filatova V.E., Gayduk A.J., Ignatenko Y.S., Spikina A.A., Yashikhina A.A., Patsali M.E., Fountoulakis K.N., Smirnova D.A.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сюняков Т.С., Павличенко А.В., Морозов П.В., Федотов И.А., Филатова В.Е., Гайдук А.Я., Игнатенко Ю.С., Спикина А.А., Яшихина А.А., Патсали М.Э., Фунтулакис К.Н., Смирнова Д.А.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://consortium-psy.com/jour/article/view/167">https://consortium-psy.com/jour/article/view/167</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p><bold>BACKGROUND</bold>: Suicidality is a complex clinical phenomenon reflecting vulnerability to suicidal behavior which can be explained via the biopsychosocial paradigm and in relationship with a variety of country-specific factors. Data on suicides within the Russian population are inconsistent (from 11.7 up to 25.1 per 100.000), whereas the population’s suicidality risks have not been investigated in detail. Suicidality estimates during the multifactorial influence of the COVID-19 pandemic could serve as a basis to learn more about this mental health indicator.</p> <p><bold>METHODS</bold>: The current study is a part of the COMET-G international project (40 countries, n=55.589), which represents an analysis of data collected from Russia’s general population (n=7714, 33±12 y.o., 61% female) to estimate suicidality using the Risk Assessment Suicidality Scale (RASS) and its relationships with socio-demographic, clinical, and life-habit characteristics during the COVID-19 pandemic. The evaluation of the statistical data (descriptive statistics, ANOVA, LASSO linear regression, significant at α=0.05) was undertaken using TIBCO Statistica.</p> <p><bold>RESULTS</bold>: According to the RASS, at least 20.68%, and up to 29.15%, of the general population in Russia demonstrated increased risk of suicidality during the pandemic. Modelling these risks pointed to the key vulnerabilities related to mental and behavioral disorders, such as (i) current severe depression and a history of mental disorders, (ii) bipolar disorder, (iii) use of illicit drugs surprisingly outranking the alcohol misuse, and psychiatric compounds (hypnotics), highlighting sleep quality deterioration, (iv) a history of suicide attempts and self-harm — though not self-reported changes in depression — in response were predictors of the risk of suicidality, which can be explained by the phenomenon of “learned suicidality”, a habitual behavioral suicidality pattern completion accumulated over the background. Such (v) socio-demographic indicators as younger age (disregarding the gender factor), a marital status of single, having no children, living with fewer people in the household, a recent increase in family conflicts, increased need for emotional support, decreased need for communication, and not believing in precautionary measures against COVID-19, contributed to the increase of suicidality risk in the context of the pandemic.</p> <p><bold>CONCLUSIONS</bold>: The findings of this study revealed new suicide risk factors that should be taken into account in suicidality risk assessments for the Russian population and in the implementation of suicide prevention programs in the region.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p><bold>ВВЕДЕНИЕ</bold>: Суицидальность — сложный клинический феномен, отражающий уязвимость к суицидальному поведению, который следует объяснять с позиций биопсихосоциальной парадигмы и во взаимосвязи с целым рядом специфических для каждой конкретной страны факторов. Данные о суицидах в российской популяции противоречивы (от 11,7 до 25,1 на 100 000), а популяционные риски суицидальности детально не изучались. Изменения суицидальности в ответ на многофакторное влияние пандемии COVID-19 дают основание для более глубокого изучения этого показателя психического здоровья на национальном уровне.</p> <p><bold>МЕТОДЫ</bold>: Настоящее исследование является частью международного проекта COMET-G (40 стран, n=55 589). В нем изучались собранные в общей российской популяции (n=7714, 33±12 лет, 61% женщин) данные оценки суицидальных тенденций с помощью шкалы оценки риска суицидальности (RASS) и анализировались взаимосвязи данного показателя с социально-демографическими, клиническими, жизненными характеристиками в период пандемии COVID-19. Статистическая обработка данных (описательная статистика, ANOVA, регрессия LASSO, линейная регрессия, значимость при α=0,05) проводилась с помощью программы TIBCO Statistica.</p> <p><bold>РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ</bold>: В период пандемии повышенный суицидальный риск, оцененный по шкале RASS выявлен у от 20,68% до 29,15% населения России. По результатам линейной регрессии суицидального риска со стороны психических и поведенческих расстройств выявлены ключевые факторы, ассоциированные с высоким риском: (i) текущая тяжелая депрессия и психические расстройства в анамнезе, (ii) биполярное расстройство, (iii) употребление наркотиков, значимость которых превышала таковую для фактора употребления алкоголя, и прием гипнотиков, сопряженный с ухудшением качества сна. (iv) Суицидальные попытки и эпизоды самоповреждающего поведения, но не усиление депрессии, предсказывали связанное с пандемией увеличение суицидальных мыслей и высокий риск суицидальности, что можно объяснить феноменом "выученной суицидальности" — паттерном привычной реализации суицидального поведения, выработанным в течение прошлого опыта. (v) Такие социально-демографические показатели, как более молодой возраст (вне зависимости от гендерного фактора), одинокое проживание вне семьи, отсутствие детей, общее небольшое число членов семьи, недавнее увеличение семейных конфликтов, повышенная потребность в эмоциональной поддержке, сниженная потребность в общении, неверие в меры предосторожности против COVID-19, также ассоциировались с увеличением суицидального риска в условиях пандемии.</p> <p><bold>ВЫВОДЫ</bold>: Результаты данного исследования выявили новые факторы суицидального риска, которые следует учитывать при оценке риска суицидальности для российского населения и при реализации национальных программ предотвращения суицидов.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>COVID-19 pandemic</kwd><kwd>depression</kwd><kwd>family conflicts</kwd><kwd>self-harm</kwd><kwd>sleep disturbances</kwd><kwd>social support</kwd><kwd>suicide prevention</kwd><kwd>suicidality</kwd><kwd>young age</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>пандемия</kwd><kwd>COVID-19</kwd><kwd>депрессия</kwd><kwd>семейные конфликты</kwd><kwd>самоповреждения</kwd><kwd>нарушения сна</kwd><kwd>социальная поддержка</kwd><kwd>профилактика самоубийств</kwd><kwd>суицидальность</kwd><kwd>молодой возраст</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group/></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>WHO [Internet]. 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